In the last of a three-game series between the St. Louis Cardinals (4-3) and the Milwaukee Brewers (4-3) at Busch Stadium, John Lackey (0-0, 6.00 ERA) and Mike Fiers (0-1, 9.00 ERA) get the ball. The Cardinals won the last game 4-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 1:45 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 16 and will air on FSN-WI, FSN-MW and MLB Netwo.
In his most recent outing, Lackey pitched 6.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out one and walking two in a 5-4 loss to the Reds. Matt Carpenter (.345 ) continued his hot start yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Cardinals, Fiers is 2-1 with a 1.30 ERA, 22 strikeouts and 11 walks. Jean Segura (.333 ) has been hitting the ball well to start the season, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
St. Louis, a -143 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Milwaukee. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Cardinals are 2-2 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +18. The Cardinals are a stellar hitting team with 8.6 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. Turning to the pitching staff, the Cardinals rank second in the NL in ERA with a 2.43 team average. The Cardinals are fourth in the league in WHIP at 1.03.
On the other side, the Brewers have a record of 1-1 when they are the underdog and are -483 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 2-3 SU and 1-1 as the underdog. Milwaukee has stepped up their play against division opponents. They have averaged 3.4 runs per game, more than their season average of 2.9. Milwaukee is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.0 hits per contest. The Brewers average just 6.0 strikeouts per road game, good for least in the NL. Milwaukee's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 4.8 runs per game against teams from the NL Central, lower than their season average of 5.5.
The Cardinals will take on a right-hander (Fiers) in this game and have a 3-3 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Lackey. They sport a 2-5 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
Milwaukee is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 25 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 12 games on the road.
Milwaukee is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing St. Louis.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 18 games when playing St. Louis.
Milwaukee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis.
When leading after 7 innings, Milwaukee is 1-1, while St. Louis is 1-2.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 2-4 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 1-5. The Cardinals have a 1-0 record when opponents outhit them.
St. Louis and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. St. Louis sits at 26th with four home runs this season and Milwaukee ranks 28th with three.
Ranking ninth, Milwaukee is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 7.63 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.57.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.629). St. Louis ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .668.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 0-4. When the Cardinals allow one or more homers, they have a 2-1 record.