In the first of a four-game series between the New York Mets (6-3) and the Miami Marlins (6-3) at Citi Field, Dillon Gee (0-1, 9.00 ERA) and Jarred Cosart (0-1, 1.50 ERA) get the start. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 16 and will air on FSN-FL, SNY and MLB Network.
Gee is 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA, 28 strikeouts and 15 walks against the Marlins in his career. Lucas Duda (.353 ) continued his hot start yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. In his career against the Mets, Cosart is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and five strikeouts. Dee Gordon (.378 ) has been doing well to start the season for the Marlins, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
New York, a -119 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Mets are 3-1 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +348. The Mets typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.7 walks per game. The New York pitching staff has been dominant, only giving up 2.8 runs per game, which is best in the NL. The Mets don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.05 WHIP.
Against divisional opponents, they are 2-4 SU and have a poor 0-1 record when they were an underdog to win. Within their division, Miami's offense has been struggling. Miami has averaged 3.2 runs per game, compared to 3.8 for the duration of the season. The Marlins have racked up eight steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Playing against NL East foes really brings the best out of the Miami pitchers. They allow 3.8 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 4.7.
This game will feature Cosart (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have a 5-2 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Gee will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 2-5 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
Miami is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games when playing NY Mets.
Miami is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Mets.
Miami is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
NY Mets are 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Miami.
Miami has won 40% (2-3) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 80% (4-1) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are coming in with a 3-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 0-4. The Mets have a 1-3 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, New York ranks 21st with six homers and Miami is 28th with three.
New York and Miami both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. New York sits at sixth with 7.89 hits per game and Miami ranks 10th with 7.44.
Ranking 23rd, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.631). New York ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .665.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, the team is 3-3. New York has the same record when it allows one or more homers.