Vance Worley (1-1, 5.84 ERA) and Kyle Lohse (0-2, 11.17 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (4-6) and the Milwaukee Brewers (2-8) at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 6-3 and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Apr. 18 and can be seen on FSN-WI and ROOT-PIT.
Worley is 2-4 with a 4.57 ERA in his appearances against the Brewers, but goes up against a below-average Milwaukee offense which is batting just .225 this season. Pedro Alvarez (.281, 6 Rs, 3 HRs, 6 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI. Lohse is 11-4 with a 3.81 ERA when pitching against the Pirates. He takes on a below-average Pittsburgh offense which is hitting just .220 this season. Jean Segura (.333, 4 Rs, 1 HR, 3 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Brewers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Pittsburgh is a -130 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Pirates have an overall money line of -364 and a record as the favorite of 1-3. Pittsburgh's batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 5.3 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses that come to PNC Park have been stifled by the Pirates, who have a team ERA of only 2.33 at home.
In games where it is the underdog, Milwaukee has a 1-2 record and an overall money line of -583. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-2 record against NL Central opponents, and a 2-7 record SU. Offensively, the Brewers have really picked up the pace in division games. They have exceeded their season average of 2.6 runs per game by averaging 2.8 in those contests. The Brewers average 5.3 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL Central is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.7 against division foes. When it comes to issuing walks, the Brewers have the fewest in the NL with only 1.8 walks allowed per game.
The Pirates lead the season series, 3-1. The Pirates have a bad 3-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lohse takes the mound. Worley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 2-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Brewers are struggling at 2-5 in their division, while the Pirates sit at 3-4.
Neither the Pirates nor the Brewers have won a game in extra innings, both going 0-1 in such matchups.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Pirates have a 4-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Pirates are 4-1. The Brewers have a 1-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th in runs, Milwaukee has earned 26 this season. Pittsburgh ranks 19th with 35 runs.
Pittsburgh and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Pittsburgh sits at 28th with 16 this season and Milwaukee ranks 24th with 22.
The Pirates are 4-2 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 1-2 when they hit at least one homer.