Jacob deGrom (1-1, 1.46 ERA) and the New York Mets (8-3) go up against Mat Latos (0-2, 17.36 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (3-8) in the third of a four-game division series at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 4-1, extending a six-game winning streak. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Apr. 18 and will air on FSN-FL and PIX11.
deGrom is 2-0 with a 1.67 ERA against the Marlins in his career, and faces a struggling Miami offense that's hitting just .226 on the year. Michael Cuddyer (.317, 7 Rs, 1 HR, 7 RBIs) continued his strong start to the season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. In his career against the Mets, Latos is 2-3 with a 2.54 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 48 strikeouts. Giancarlo Stanton (.243, 6 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
New York is a -139 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Mets have a winning record of 4-1 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +448. They have impressive records of 4-1 as the favorite and 7-3 SU within their division. The Mets have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.1 runs per game. The Mets typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.6 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Mets don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.03 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Marlins are coming into the game in dire straits. They are winless as the underdog (0-2) and have an overall money line of -540. Against divisional opponents, they are 2-5 SU and have a poor 0-2 record when they were an underdog to win. When it comes to scoring, the Marlins haven't performed as well against teams from the NL East. During those games, they averaged three runs per game, below their 3.9 runs per game season average. Miami is a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in the MLB with nine stolen bases. Playing against NL East foes really brings the best out of the Miami pitchers. They allow 4.3 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 4.9.
The previous two games have all gone New York's way. This game will feature Latos (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have not lost a game (4-0) when they take on a right-handed starter at home. The right-handed deGrom will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 2-6 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 8-3 against the division, while the Marlins are struggling at 2-6.
The Marlins are 1-0 when they go into extra innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Marlins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have a 4-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 0-5. The Mets have a 1-3 record when opponents outhit them.
New York and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. New York sits at 22nd with seven home runs this season and Miami ranks 24th with six.
Ranking 11th, Miami is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.40 per game. New York ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.00.
New York and Miami both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 17th with an OPS of .673 and Miami ranks 20th with an OPS of .639.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 3-4. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have a 5-3 record.