Daniel Norris (1-0, 4.22 ERA) and Shelby Miller (1-0, 0.90 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (6-6) and the Atlanta Braves (7-4) at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 6-5 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:07 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 19 and can be seen on FSN-S and RSN.
Norris pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking three in a 3-2 defeat to the Rays. Josh Donaldson (.340, 10 Rs, 3 HRs, 10 RBIs) had a good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. When pitching against the Blue Jays, Miller is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.44 WHIP, and five strikeouts. Freddie Freeman (.256, 7 Rs, 4 HRs, 8 RBIs) has been successful at the plate to the start the season, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Toronto is a -121 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Blue Jays have recorded an overall money line of -210 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 2-4. Against the NL, they are winless both as the favorite (0-1), and SU (0-1). The Blue Jays have seen an uptick in scoring against teams in the NL, averaging 7.0 runs per game. They average 5.6 runs per game on the season. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 39. Toronto's pitchers fall apart when National League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 8.0 against NL teams, compared to its 4.6 season average.
Over in the other dugout, Atlanta is coming in with an overall money line of +510 and an impressive record of 5-2 as the dog. Atlanta is undefeated against American League opponents. They have a 1-0 record as the underdog and 1-0 SU. Offensively, they average six runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. Atlanta is excellent at drawing walks with 4.0 per road game, ranking second in the NL. The Braves allow 3.6 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 7.0 against teams from the AL.
The Blue Jays have a 4-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Miller takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Braves lost by a margin of one run. The Blue Jays are 1-4 in one-run games. The Braves have a 3-2 record in close games.
When the Blue Jays play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Braves are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Atlanta batters brought in a solid nine hits last game. Toronto has a record of 3-2 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Blue Jays are 6-1. The Braves have a 5-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 68 this season. Atlanta ranks ninth with 49 runs.
Ranking 11th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 34 this season. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 38.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 5-1. When the Braves hit at least one homer, they have a 4-4 record.