Adam Wainwright (1-1, 2.08 ERA) and Mike Leake (0-0, 4.97 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the St. Louis Cardinals (7-3) and the Cincinnati Reds (5-6) at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 5-2 and St. Louis leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 8:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 19 and can be seen on ESPN.
Wainwright is 7-9 with a 4.40 ERA in his appearances against the Reds, and goes up against a below-average Cincinnati offense which is batting just .218 this season. Matt Carpenter (.381, 9 Rs, 1 HR, 9 RBIs) had a good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two RBIs. Leake is 4-6 with a 5.00 ERA against the Cardinals in his career. He is up against a quality St. Louis offense that's batting .260. Zack Cozart (.368, 4 Rs, 1 HR, 2 RBIs) has been successful at the plate to the start the season, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
St. Louis is a -179 favorite against Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Cardinals have an overall money line of +218 and a record as the favorite of 4-2. St. Louis has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 4-2 and 6-3 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Cardinals have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the NL in home offense with 4.5 runs per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cardinals, who have a team ERA of only 2.00. The Cardinals are the third-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.02 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Cardinals, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.7.
In games where it is the underdog, Cincinnati has a 3-4 record and an overall money line of +44. They are 3-4 as the underdog against NL Central opponents, and 5-5 SU. The Reds are an excellent base stealing team with 12 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 4-1. The Cardinals have a 5-3 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Leake takes the mound. Wainwright (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 4-3 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals hold a 7-3 record in matchups against NL Central rivals, while the Reds currently sit at 5-6 in these games.
The Cardinals are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 1-2 in such matchups.
The Cincinnati batters brought in a solid nine hits last game. St. Louis has a record of 3-0 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 2-4. The Cardinals have a 1-0 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, St. Louis has hit five this season. Cincinnati ranks 12th with 11 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.30 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.67.
Ranking 25th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.623). St. Louis ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .700.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 4-5. When the Cardinals allow one or more homers, they have a 4-1 record.