Rick Porcello (1-1, 3.86 ERA) and Miguel Gonzalez (1-1, 1.42 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the Boston Red Sox (7-4) and the Baltimore Orioles (6-5) at Fenway Park. The Orioles won the last game 4-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 19 and can be seen on MASN and NESN.
Porcello is 3-5 with a 4.28 ERA in his appearances against the Orioles, and goes up against a quality Baltimore offense which is batting .267 this season. When pitching against the Red Sox, Gonzalez is 4-1 with a 2.51 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, and 26 strikeouts. Adam Jones (.415, 11 Rs, 4 HRs, 11 RBIs) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Orioles, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Boston is a -133 favorite against Baltimore and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Red Sox have recorded an overall money line of +351 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 4-2. While they are undefeated SU against opponents of the AL East division, they have a less than perfect record (1-0) as the favorite against division opponents. The Red Sox have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in offense with 5.9 runs per game. Boston leads the whole AL in walks, earning an average of 4.8 per game. Boston's pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 6.2 against fellow AL East members, compared to its 5.2 season average. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Red Sox, who rank third in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.8.
Over in the other dugout, Baltimore is coming in with an overall money line of -31 and a disappointing record of 1-2 as the underdog. They are 1-2 as the underdog against AL East foes, and 5-5 SU.
The Red Sox have a great 3-0 record at home (6-2 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Gonzalez takes the mound. Porcello (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 4-4 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
The Red Sox are 3-2 against their divisional rivals, while the Orioles are 6-5 against their division.
In extra innings, the Red Sox are 1-0.
The Orioles are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Red Sox have a record of 1-3 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 5-2. The Red Sox have a 6-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking eighth, Baltimore sits in the top 10 of the league in runs, scoring 53 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at third with 60.
Ranking first in walks, Boston has earned 51 this season. Baltimore ranks 19th with 30 walks.
The Red Sox are 5-2 when they hit at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 6-4 record.