Gerrit Cole (1-0, 3.27 ERA) and Matt Garza (1-1, 4.22 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-6) and the Milwaukee Brewers (2-9) at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 6-2 and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 19 and can be seen on FSN-WI and ROOT-PIT.
Cole is 1-2 with a 3.27 ERA in his appearances against the Brewers, and goes up against a below-average Milwaukee offense which is batting just .220 this season. Garza is 2-2 with a 3.92 ERA when pitching against the Pirates. He is up against a below-average Pittsburgh offense which is hitting just .221 this season. Jean Segura (.350, 5 Rs, 1 HR, 3 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Brewers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
Pittsburgh is a -151 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Pirates have recorded an overall money line of -264 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 2-3. Within its division, Pittsburgh has a 1-1 record as favorite and a 3-4 record SU. The Pirates have seen an uptick in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 4.3 runs per game. They average 3.5 runs per game on the season. Pittsburgh's batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 5.8 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses that come to PNC Park have been stifled by the Pirates, who have a team ERA of only 2.50 at home.
As for their opponent, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -683 and a disappointing record of 1-3 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record against NL Central foes, and a 2-8 record SU. The Brewers average 5.4 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL Central is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.9 against division foes. When it comes to issuing walks, the Brewers have the fewest in the NL with only 1.8 walks allowed per game.
The Pirates lead the season series, 4-1. The Pirates have a 4-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Garza takes the mound. Cole (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 2-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Pirates are 4-4 against other teams in their division, while the Brewers are 2-6 against their rivals.
When the Pirates and the Brewers play into extra innings, both teams are winless with a 0-1 record.
The Brewers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Pirates who are heading in with a 1-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Pirates are 0-4. The Brewers have a 1-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Milwaukee ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting three this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the top half at 12th with 11.
Ranking 14th, Pittsburgh is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.10 per game. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 7.50.
Ranking 30th, Milwaukee is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.584). Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom at 24th with an OPS of .629.
The Brewers are 0-6 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Pirates are 2-5 when they allow at least one homer.