Matt Harvey (2-0, 2.25 ERA) and Tom Koehler (1-1, 3.18 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the New York Mets (9-3) and the Miami Marlins (3-9) at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 5-4, continuing a seven-game winning streak. New York can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 19 and can be seen on FSN-FL and SNY.
Harvey is 0-1 with a 3.52 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, and goes up against a below-average Miami offense which is batting just .234 this season. Michael Cuddyer (.333, 8 Rs, 1 HR, 7 RBIs) had a good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. When pitching against the Mets, Koehler is 1-3 with a 2.67 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 49 strikeouts. Dee Gordon (.400, 7 Rs, 9 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Marlins, going 5 for 5 yesterday with three RBIs.
This one isn't expected to be close when New York, a substantial -206 favorite, takes on Miami. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently six runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +548 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 5-1. New York has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 5-1 and 8-3 records as the favorite and SU respectively. New York is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.5 per game. Turning to the pitchers, the Mets are the fifth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.06 so far this season.
As for their opponent, Miami has a winless record of 0-3 playing as the underdog and a disappointing overall money line of -640. NL East rivals have had an easy time with the Marlins when they're ranked as the underdog. They have a 0-3 record as favorite and 2-6 SU. Offensively, the Marlins have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 3.6 runs per game by averaging 3.1 in those contests. The Marlins average 4.8 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.2 against division foes.
The Mets have the edge in the season series, 3-0. The Mets have a perfect 5-0 record at home (7-2 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Koehler takes the mound. Harvey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 2-7 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets hold a 9-3 record against the NL East Division this season, while the Marlins have a 2-7 record against the division.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 5-1, while Miami is 2-4.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 0-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
The Mets are coming into the game with seven consecutive wins, while the Marlins currently have a losing streak of three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 3-2. The Mets have a 6-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th in runs, Miami has earned 44 this season. New York ranks 10th with 50 runs.
Ranking 12th, Miami is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 36 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 40.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 5-1. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 1-4 record.