Mark Buehrle (2-0, 3.75 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (6-7) meet Bud Norris (0-1, 12.38 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (7-6) in the first of a three-game division series at the Rogers Centre. The game starts at 7:07 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 21 and will air on MASN2 and RSN.
Buehrle has a 3.54 ERA and a 9-10 record in his career against the Orioles, and faces a strong Baltimore offense that's hitting .272 on the year. In his pitching opportunities against the Blue Jays, Norris is 4-1 with a 4.10 ERA, 29 strikeouts and 15 walks. Caleb Joseph (.375, 6 Rs, 1 HR, 4 RBIs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run.
Toronto is a -135 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Blue Jays perform poorly as a favorite with a 3-5 record and have an overall money line of -285. They are 2-5 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Blue Jays are a dangerous hitting team with 40 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB.
Switching gears, the Orioles come into this game with a win percentage of .500 when playing as the underdog (3-3) and an overall money line of +127. Against divisional opponents, they are 7-6 SU and 3-3 as the underdog. The Orioles are known for their bats, hitting 40 extra base hits.
The Blue Jays are 2-1 against the Orioles this season. The Blue Jays will take on a right-hander (Norris) in this game. They have done very poorly against right-handed starting pitchers this season (4-7), especially at home where they have a 1-5 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Blue Jays are an even 5-5 against the division, while the Orioles sit at 7-6.
When leading after 7 innings, Toronto is 3-0, while Baltimore is 2-1.
The Blue Jays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Orioles who are coming in with a 2-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When outhit, both the Blue Jays and the Orioles have records of 0-5.
Ranking first in home runs, Baltimore has hit 19 this season. Toronto ranks fifth with 16 home runs.
Ranking eighth, Toronto is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.15 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.42.
Ranking ninth, Toronto is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.733). Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .797.
The Orioles are 4-3 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 6-4 when they allow at least one homer.