In the first of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (4-9) and the Miami Marlins (4-9) at Citizens Bank Park, Jerome Williams (0-1, 4.09 ERA) and Dan Haren (1-0, 2.08 ERA) take the mound. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 21 and will air on CSN-PHI and FSN-FL.
In his last start, Williams pitched 5.0 innings, allowing four runs (one unearned), striking out one and walking one in a 6-1 loss to the Mets. Odubel Herrera (.302, 6 Rs, 3 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Phillies, Haren is 1-5 with a 4.50 ERA. He gets a struggling Philadelphia offense that's batting just .212. Giancarlo Stanton (.239, 7 Rs, 2 HRs, 11 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well to start the season, going 2 for 5 Sunday with one run and one RBI.
Philadelphia, a +120 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Phillies perform poorly as an underdog with a 4-8 record and have an overall money line of -366. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (3-7). Don't expect the Philadelphia hitters to swing wildly. They average only 7.6 strikeouts per game. Turning to the pitching staff, an area where the Phillies are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average 8.7 K's per home game.
Across the field, the Marlins have a subpar record of 3-5 when they are favored and are -840 overall with the money line. Against teams in their division, they are 2-8 SU and have played poorly as the favorite with a 2-3 record.
The Phillies will take on a right-hander (Haren) in this game. They have struggled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 3-8. The right-handed Williams will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 2-9 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Under
The Phillies and Marlins both hold losing records against teams in the NL East. The Phillies sit at 3-7 in these matchups and the Marlins have a 2-8 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Philadelphia is 3-4, while Miami is 2-5.
The Phillies managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are coming in with a 2-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 0-5. The Phillies have a 1-7 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Philadelphia sits at 28th with six home runs this season and Miami ranks 26th with seven.
Ranking 15th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.08 per game. Miami ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 7.92.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.582). Miami ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .649.
The Marlins are 3-5 when they allow at least one home run. The Phillies perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 3-6 record.