Jon Niese (1-0, 1.59 ERA) and the New York Mets (10-3) go up against Trevor Cahill (0-1, 15.43 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (8-4) in the first of a three-game division series at Citi Field. The Mets enter this series on an eight-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 21 and will air on SPSO and SNY.
Niese is 7-6 with a 3.36 ERA, 99 strikeouts and 43 walks against the Braves in his career. Travis d'Arnaud (.317, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs) continued his hot start Sunday, going 2 for 3 with one run and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Mets, Cahill is 0-1 with a 4.00 ERA, two strikeouts and five walks. Nick Markakis (.375, 8 Rs, 5 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well to start the season for the Braves, going 2 for 4 Sunday with one run.
New York is a -149 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Mets have a winning record of 7-1 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +748. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (7-1). The Mets typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.4 walks per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Braves come into this game with a solid win percentage of .667 when playing as the underdog (6-3) and an overall money line of +575. Against fellow NL East members, they are 6-3 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 4-2 record. The Braves seem to play worse against their division opponents. In divisional matchups, Atlanta has averaged 4.0 runs per game, compared to 4.5 for the duration of the season. One of the top road hitting teams in the NL are the Braves, who average 9.2 hits in games away from home. Playing against NL East foes really brings the best out of the Atlanta pitchers. They allow 3.2 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 3.7.
In their previous three games this season, the Braves have a 2-1 record. This game will feature Cahill (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have not lost a game (7-0) when they take on a right-handed starter at home.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 10-3 against their division, while the Braves are 6-3
In extra innings, the Braves are 0-1.
The Braves managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mets who are heading in with a 5-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mets and the Braves both have records of 6-0.
Both falling in the top half of the league based on total runs this season, New York ranks 11th with 57 runs and Atlanta is 12th with 54.
Ranking 12th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 39 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 44.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 5-1. When the Braves hit at least one homer, they have a 4-4 record.