Chris Archer (2-1, 1.37 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (6-7) meet Wade Miley (0-1, 10.57 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (8-5) in the first of a three-game division series at Tropicana Field. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 21 and will air on NESN and SunSports.
Archer has a 6.03 ERA and a 1-4 record in his career against the Red Sox, but is up against a struggling Boston offense that's hitting just .239 on the year. Steven Souza Jr. (.289, 5 Rs, 3 HRs, 10 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong start to the season Sunday, going 3 for 5 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Rays, Miley is 2-0 with a 0.68 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar Tampa Bay offense that's batting just .226.
Tampa Bay, a -126 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Boston. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Rays perform poorly as a favorite with a 1-3 record and have an overall money line of -56. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-2. Within their division, Tampa Bay's offense has been struggling. Tampa Bay has only averaged 3.2 runs per game compared to its 3.9 season average. The Rays are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 13 steals.
Across the field, the Red Sox have a nice record of 3-1 when they are the underdog and are +73 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 3-3 SU and 2-1 as the underdog. They sport the fifth-ranked offense in the AL, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Boston has an eye for the strike zone, averaging an AL-best 4.6 walks per game. Boston's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 6.2 runs per game against teams from the AL East, higher than their season average of 5.3. The Boston pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.8 strikeouts per game.
The right-handed Archer will take the mound against the Red Sox, who have a 6-4 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
The Rays are 4-6 against their divisional rivals, while the Red Sox are 4-3 against their division.
When the Red Sox play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Rays are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
After a weak showing last week where they got in five hits, the Red Sox need to step it up. The Rays have a record of 4-1 when opponents get five hits or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 5-1. The Red Sox have a 7-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Boston has earned 70 this season. Tampa Bay ranks 14th with 51 runs.
Ranking first in walks, Boston has earned 61 this season. Tampa Bay ranks second with 52 walks.
When the Rays hit at least one home run, they are 4-6. When the Red Sox hit at least one homer, they have a 5-3 record.