J.A. Happ (0-1, 2.70 ERA) and Roberto Hernandez (0-1, 3.38 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Seattle Mariners (5-9) and the Houston Astros (8-6) at Safeco Field. The Astros won the last game 6-3 and Houston leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 22 and can be seen on ROOT-SW and ROOT-NW.
Happ is 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA in his appearances against the Astros, and goes up against a below-average Houston offense which is batting just .210 this season. Kyle Seager (.302, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 9 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. When pitching against the Mariners, Hernandez is 2-4 with a 3.42 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 35 strikeouts. Jake Marisnick (.361, 6 Rs, 1 HR, 6 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Astros, going 2 for 2 yesterday with two runs and one RBI.
Seattle is a -168 favorite against Houston and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mariners have an overall money line of -494 and a record as the favorite of 4-5. Within its division, Seattle has a 4-4 record as favorite and a 5-5 record SU. The Mariners are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 18. As for the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mariners, who rank fifth in the AL in strikeouts per home game with 8.7.
In games where it is the underdog, Houston has a 3-3 record and an overall money line of +179. They have been playing solid baseball as the underdog with a 3-2 record against AL West rivals, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Astros have really picked up the pace in division games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.1 runs per game by averaging 3.8 in those contests. The Astros can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking fourth in the league with 18 home runs. The Astros are an excellent base stealing team with 15 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB. Houston's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 2.70 ERA on the road. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Astros are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.09 for the season.
The Astros have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Mariners have a 4-4 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hernandez takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner - SEA, O/U - Over
The Astros sit at 7-4 against their divisional rivals, while the Mariners are 5-6.
The Astros are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 2-1 in such matchups.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mariners have a 1-7 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Mariners are 2-7. The Astros have a 2-3 record when opponents outhit them.
Tied at fourth for total home runs, Seattle and Houston have each hit 18 homers this season.
Ranking 15th, Houston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 6.77 per game. Seattle ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.54.
Ranking 22nd, Houston is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.658). Seattle ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .706.
When the Astros allow at least one home run, they are 1-4, well-matched with the Mariners who are 2-7 when allowing at least one homer.