In the last of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (2-13) and the Cincinnati Reds (2-13) at Miller Park, Kyle Lohse (0-3, 10.34 ERA) and Homer Bailey (0-1, 7.94 ERA) get the ball. The Brewers lost the last game 2-1, extending an eight-game losing streak. Cincinnati can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game starts at 1:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 23 and will air on FSN-OH.
Lohse has a 2.69 ERA and a 7-5 record in his career against the Reds, and faces a less-than-stellar Cincinnati offense that's hitting just .226 on the year. Adam Lind (.275, 3 Rs, 1 HR, 7 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Brewers, Bailey is 4-8 with a 4.94 ERA. He meets a struggling Milwaukee offense that's batting just .214. Joey Votto (.386, 12 Rs, 6 HRs, 14 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Reds, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Milwaukee, a +108 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Cincinnati. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Brewers perform poorly as an underdog with a 1-5 record and have an overall money line of -1,111. They are 1-5 as the underdog over their last 10 games.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Reds come into this game with a solid win percentage of .667 when playing as the favorite (2-1) and an overall money line of +61. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the favorite with a 0-1 record and 3-7 SU. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, with an MLB-best 17 stolen bases.
The previous three games have all gone Cincinnati's way. The Brewers will take on a right-hander (Bailey) in this game. They have done very poorly against right-handed starting pitchers this season (2-9), especially at home where they have a 1-6 record. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Lohse. They sport a 6-5 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
The Brewers are struggling at 2-10 in their division, while the Reds are 8-7.
Milwaukee has won 20% (1-4) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Cincinnati has won 60% (3-2) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Reds have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
The Reds are coming into the game with three consecutive wins, while the Brewers currently have a losing streak of eight.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 1-1. The Reds have a 4-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 42 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 12th with 61.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 29 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 11th with 47.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 1-4. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 6-4 record.