Sean O'Sullivan (0-1, 4.91 ERA) and David Phelps (0-0, 7.94 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (5-10) and the Miami Marlins (4-11) at Citizens Bank Park. The Marlins won the last game 6-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 23 and can be seen on CSN-PHI.
O'Sullivan pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out two and walking two in a 7-2 defeat to the Nationals. Cody Asche (.340, 4 Rs, 2 HRs, 3 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Phelps went 4.2 innings, surrendering one run, striking out two and walking three in a 4-1 defeat to the Mets in his last outing. Dee Gordon (.375, 9 Rs, 9 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Miami is a narrow -114 favorite over Philadelphia. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -261 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 5-8. Philadelphia has recorded a disappointing 3-7 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Phillies, who rank fourth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.9.
Over in the other dugout, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -955 and a disappointing record of 3-6as the favorite. They have played poorly as the favorite with a 2-4 record against NL East rivals, and a 2-8 record SU. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Marlins are fourth in the NL on the road with an average of 7.4 hits allowed per away game.
The Phillies have a bad 4-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Phelps takes the mound. O'Sullivan (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 2-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Under
The Phillies and Marlins both hold losing records against teams in the NL East. The Phillies sit at 4-8 in these matchups and the Marlins have a 3-9 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Philadelphia is 4-5, while Miami is 3-6.
The Phillies managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are coming in with a 3-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 0-5. The Phillies have a 2-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Philadelphia sits at 25th with nine home runs this season and Miami ranks 27th with eight.
Ranking 14th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.07 per game. Miami ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.07.
Philadelphia and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 29th with an OPS of .593 and Miami ranks 24th with an OPS of .652.
The Marlins are 4-6 when they allow at least one home run. Philadelphia has the same record when allowing one or more homers.