Mat Latos (0-3, 10.24 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (5-11) meet Stephen Strasburg (1-1, 4.50 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (7-9) in the first of a three-game division series at Marlins Park. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Apr. 24 and will air on MASN2 and FSN-FL.
Latos has a 2.66 ERA and a 3-2 record in his career against the Nationals, and faces a struggling Washington offense that's hitting just .224 on the year. Adeiny Hechavarria (.311, 12 Rs, 1 HR, 10 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 4 for 4 with two runs and three RBIs. In his career against the Marlins, Strasburg is 9-5 with a 3.44 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 101 strikeouts. Bryce Harper (.259, 11 Rs, 4 HRs, 8 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. Against teams in the NL East, the Marlins have an SU record of 3-9. Within their division, Miami's offense has been struggling. Miami has only averaged 3.7 runs per game compared to its 4.2 season average.
Against divisional opponents, the Nationals are 5-5 SU. They sport the fourth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging four runs per game. Washington has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.3 in the NL with fifth walks per game. The Nationals are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.01 ERA this season.
The Marlins will take on a right-hander (Strasburg) in this game. They have struggled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 2-10. The right-handed Latos will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 5-7 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
The Nationals hold a split 5-5 record against NL East teams, but the Marlins are 4-9 in such matchups.
The Marlins are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Nationals are 2-1 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Nationals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 0-5. The Nationals have a 1-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 25th when it comes to home runs, hitting nine this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 15.
Ranking 12th, Washington is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.67 per game. Miami ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.20.
Miami and Washington both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Miami sits at 19th with an OPS of .667 and Washington ranks 20th with an OPS of .666.
The Nationals are 2-3 when they allow at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 4-6 record.