Miguel Gonzalez (2-1, 2.55 ERA) and Rick Porcello (1-2, 6.63 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (7-9) and the Boston Red Sox (9-7) at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Apr. 24 and can be seen on NESN and MASN.
Gonzalez is 5-1 with a 2.81 ERA in his appearances against the Red Sox, and goes up against a below-average Boston offense which is batting just .230 this season. Adam Jones (.424, 14 Rs, 5 HRs, 16 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs. Porcello is 3-6 with a 5.13 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He is up against a quality Baltimore offense that's batting .268. Xander Bogaerts (.302, 8 Rs, 8 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday.
Baltimore is a -124 favorite against Boston and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of -83 and a record as the favorite of 4-4. Within its division, Baltimore has a 4-4 record as favorite and a 7-8 record SU. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Orioles, who rank fifth in the AL in strikeouts per home game with 8.3.
In the other locker room, Boston is coming in with an overall money line of +153 and an impressive record of 4-1 as the dog. They have been playing solid baseball as the underdog with a 3-1 record against AL East foes, and a 5-4 record SU. Offensively, they average 5.1 runs per game, which is good for fifth in the AL. Boston is excellent at drawing walks with an AL-best 4.5 per game. The Red Sox have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.5 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Orioles have a 6-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Porcello takes the mound. Gonzalez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 7-5 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Red Sox are an even 5-5 against the division, while the Orioles sit at 7-9.
When leading after 7 innings, Boston is 3-3, while Baltimore is 2-3.
After a weak showing last week where they got in eight hits, the Orioles need to step it up. The Red Sox have a record of 7-2 when opponents get eight hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-6. The Red Sox have a 1-7 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking first in home runs, Baltimore has hit 22 this season. Boston ranks 10th with 15 home runs.
Ranking seventh, Boston is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.47 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.93.
Ranking 18th, Boston is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.669). Baltimore ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .783.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, the team is 4-6. Baltimore has the same record when it allows one or more homers.