Tom Koehler (1-2, 6.75 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (6-11) go up against Stephen Strasburg (1-1, 4.50 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (7-10) in the second of a three-game division series at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 3-2 and Miami leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Apr. 25 and will air on MASN and FSN-FL.
Koehler has a 4.03 ERA and a 2-3 record in his career against the Nationals, and faces a less-than-stellar Washington offense that's hitting just .222 on the year. Dee Gordon (.370, 10 Rs, 10 RBIs, 8 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one RBI. In his career against the Marlins, Strasburg is 9-5 with a 3.44 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 101 strikeouts. Bryce Harper (.286, 11 Rs, 4 HRs, 10 RBIs) has been doing well offensively for the Nationals, going 2 for 2 yesterday with two RBIs.
Miami, a +115 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Washington. The matchup currently has a seven-run Over/Under (O/U). The Marlins have a losing record of 1-5 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -735. They are 1-5 as the underdog over their last 10 games.
On the other side, the Nationals have a record of 6-6 when they are favored and are -445 overall with the money line. Against divisional foes, they are 5-5 SU and 5-5 as the favorite. They sport the fifth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging four runs per game. The Nationals average 3.3 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. Playing against NL East foes really brings the best out of the Washington pitchers. They allow 3.0 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 4.0.
The only other game between the two teams went Miami's way. The Marlins will take on a right-hander (Strasburg) in this game. They have done very poorly against right-handed starting pitchers this season (3-10), especially at home where they have a 1-4 record. Taking the hill against the Nationals will be the right-hander Koehler. They sport a 5-8 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Over
The Marlins currently sit below .500 against the NL East Division at 5-9, and the Nationals have a 5-6 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Washington is 4-6, while Miami is 3-6.
The Marlins are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Nationals have a record of 2-1 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
It looks like the Marlins have a slight leg up on the Nationals, as the Marlins have won their last three games while the Nationals have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 6-4. The Nationals have a 5-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 17th, Washington sits in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 63 this season. Miami ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 71.
Ranking 13th, Miami is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 48 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 56.
The Marlins are 2-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Nationals are 6-5 when they hit at least one homer.