Anthony DeSclafani (2-0, 0.86 ERA) and Jake Arrieta (2-1, 1.74 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (8-9) and the Chicago Cubs (9-7) at the Great American Ball Park. The Cubs won the last game 7-3 and Chicago leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Apr. 25 and can be seen on ABC7 and FSN-OH.
DeSclafani pitched 8.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out five and walking one in a 6-1 win over the Brewers. Arrieta is 2-2 with a 3.71 ERA against the Reds in his career. He takes on a below-average Cincinnati offense that's batting just .221. Anthony Rizzo (.345, 13 Rs, 2 HRs, 7 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Cubs, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, two RBIs, and one stolen base.
Chicago is a slim -115 favorite over Cincinnati. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Reds have an overall money line of +58 and a record as the underdog of 5-7. Within its division, Cincinnati has a 3-1 as the underdog and an 8-8 SU. The Reds are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 19. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 20 bases. Turning to the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Reds, who rank second in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 9.7.
In games where it is the favorite, Chicago has a 4-5 record and an overall money line of +27. They are 3-3 as the favorite against fellow NL Central members, and 5-4 SU. The Cubs are an excellent base stealing team with 18 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB. The Cubs average 4.1 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL Central is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.4 against division foes. When it comes to issuing walks, the Cubs have the fewest in the NL with only 1.9 walks allowed per game. The Cubs have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.4 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Cubs lead the season series, 3-1. The Reds have a 7-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Arrieta takes the mound. DeSclafani (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cubs, who have a 7-5 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC, O/U - Over
The Reds are 8-9 against their divisional rivals, while the Cubs are 6-4 against their division.
When the Cubs play into extra innings, they have a 4-0 record. The Reds are 1-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Cubs managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are heading in with a 3-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 4-3. The Cubs have a 5-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th in runs, Cincinnati has earned 66 this season. Chicago ranks 10th with 73 runs.
Ranking 12th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 52 this season. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 59.
The Reds are 6-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Cubs are 7-1 when they hit at least one homer.