Jerome Williams (1-1, 3.71 ERA) and Trevor Cahill (0-2, 9.95 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (6-12) and the Atlanta Braves (9-8) at Citizens Bank Park. The Braves won the last game 5-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 26 and can be seen on FSN-S and CSN-PHI.
Williams is 1-3 with a 5.26 ERA in his appearances against the Braves, but goes up against a below-average Atlanta offense which is batting just .234 this season. Cahill is 2-3 with a 3.60 ERA against the Phillies in his career. He is up against a below-average Philadelphia offense that's batting just .214. Nick Markakis (.362, 10 Rs, 5 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Braves, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Philadelphia is a narrow -111 favorite at home against Atlanta. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. Logging a disappointing -384 overall money line and 0-2 record as a favorite, the Phillies have had a difficult season. Philadelphia is a disappointing 0-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Philadelphia's batters do not strike out very often, with only 7.2 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 6-6 record and an overall money line of +158. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-6 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, the Braves have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 3.2 in those contests. Atlanta is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per game, ranking fifth in the NL. Atlanta's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL at pitching on the road, with a 3.44 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Braves are second in the NL with an average of 7.7 hits allowed per game.
The Phillies have a bad 4-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cahill takes the mound. Williams (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 6-7 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Under
The Braves hold a split 7-7 record against NL East teams, but the Phillies are 5-10 in such matchups.
When the Phillies play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Braves are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 3-8 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 7-2. The Phillies have a 4-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 44 this season. Atlanta ranks 19th with 65 runs.
Ranking 23rd, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 43 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 13th with 54.
When the Phillies hit at least one home run, they are 2-4. When the Braves hit at least one homer, they have a 5-5 record.