Bud Norris (0-2, 17.42 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (8-10) go up against Wade Miley (1-1, 6.08 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (10-8) in the last of a three-game division series at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 5-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 26 and will air on NESN, MASN and MLB Network.
Norris has a 3.41 ERA and a 1-2 record in his career against the Red Sox, and is up against a less-than-stellar Boston offense that's hitting just .234 on the year. Adam Jones (.412, 15 Rs, 5 HRs, 16 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Orioles, Miley is 0-0 with a 5.14 ERA. He gets a strong Baltimore offense that's batting .272. Hanley Ramirez (.292, 12 Rs, 6 HRs, 13 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Red Sox, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Baltimore is a +108 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Orioles perform poorly as an underdog with a 3-6 record and have an overall money line of -283. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-5). The Orioles are a dangerous hitting team with 58 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Red Sox come into this game with a win percentage of .545 when playing as the favorite (6-5) and an overall money line of +153. Against fellow AL East members, they are 6-5 SU and 3-3 as the favorite. The Red Sox rank fourth in the AL in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Boston has an eye for the strike zone, averaging an AL-best 4.2 walks per game. Switching gears to Boston's pitching staff, they have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 8.7 strikeouts per game.
Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the right-hander Norris. They sport an 8-6 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
The Red Sox are an even 6-6 against the division, while the Orioles sit at 8-10.
Baltimore has won 33% (2-4) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Boston has won 57% (4-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Baltimore batters brought in a solid 11 hits last game. Boston has a record of 1-6 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-7. The Red Sox have a 1-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking first in home runs, Baltimore has hit 26 this season. Boston ranks seventh with 20 home runs.
Ranking eighth, Boston is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.29 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.94.
Ranking 17th, Boston is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.682). Baltimore ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .796.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, the team is 5-7. Baltimore has the same record when it allows one or more homers.