Eric Stults (0-1, 4.50 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (9-9) meet Doug Fister (1-0, 2.37 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (7-12) in the first of a three-game division series at Turner Field. The Nationals go into this series looking to snap a five-game losing streak. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Apr. 27 and will air on MASN and SPSO.
Stults is 1-1 with a 5.17 ERA against the Nationals in his career, but is up against a less-than-stellar Washington offense that's hitting just .218 on the year. Freddie Freeman (.235, 11 Rs, 4 HRs, 8 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Braves, Fister is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA. He gets a struggling Atlanta offense that's batting just .237. Bryce Harper (.270, 12 Rs, 5 HRs, 11 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Atlanta, a +120 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Washington. The matchup currently has a seven-run Over/Under (O/U). When playing as the underdog, the Braves have a 6-6 record and overall money line at +258. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-6). Division games have been tough for the Braves. Atlanta has only averaged 3.4 runs per game compared to its 3.8 season average. As for the Atlanta defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Braves, who allow only 3.7 runs per game. The Braves are second in the NL in hits allowed with just 7.6 per game.
On the other side, the Nationals have a record of 6-8 when they are favored and are -706 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 5-7 SU and have played poorly as the favorite with a 5-7 record. When it comes to scoring, the Nationals haven't performed as well against teams from the NL East. During those games, they averaged two runs per game, below their 3.5 runs per game season average. Washington's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 3.4 runs per game against teams from the NL East, lower than their season average of 4.2.
This game will feature Fister (RHP) on the mound against the Braves, who have a 7-7 record when they take on a right-handed starter.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
The Nationals are struggling at 5-8 in their division, while the Braves sit at 7-8.
The Nationals are 2-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Braves are 0-1 in such matchups.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Braves have a 2-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 7-3. The Nationals have a 5-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Washington has earned 65 this season. Atlanta ranks 18th with 69 runs.
Ranking 12th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 58 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 60.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 5-6. When the Nationals hit at least one homer, they have a 6-6 record.