In the first of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (10-9) and the Toronto Blue Jays (10-9) at Fenway Park, Joe Kelly (1-0, 4.08 ERA) and Aaron Sanchez (1-2, 5.14 ERA) get the start. The game starts at 6:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Apr. 27 and will air on RSN and NESN.
In his most recent outing, Kelly pitched 5.0 innings, allowing five runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 7-5 loss to the Rays. Hanley Ramirez (.300, 14 Rs, 8 HRs, 17 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, two home runs, and four RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Red Sox, Sanchez is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar Boston offense that's batting just .234. Josh Donaldson (.347, 14 Rs, 4 HRs, 14 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Boston is a -143 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Red Sox have a 6-5 record and overall money line at +48. They have a 6-6 record SU and are 3-3 as favorite within their division. The Red Sox have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been very patient at the plate, leading the AL with an average of 4.2 walks per game.
On the other side, the Blue Jays have a record of 4-4 when they are the underdog and are -190 overall with the money line. Against fellow AL East members, they are 8-7 SU and 4-4 as the underdog. They sport the top-ranked offense in the AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Toronto is one of the top hitting teams in the AL with an average of 8.3 hits per contest.
This game will feature Sanchez (RHP) on the mound against the Red Sox, who have an 8-6 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Blue Jays will be the right-hander Kelly. They sport a 7-8 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
This season, the Blue Jays hold an even 8-8 record against AL East teams. The Red Sox sit at 6-7 against these opponents.
When the Blue Jays play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Red Sox are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Blue Jays are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Red Sox have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Blue Jays are 8-1. The Red Sox have a 9-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top five of the league based on total runs this season, Boston ranks third with 95 runs and Toronto is second with 100.
Boston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 81 this season. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 60.
The Red Sox are 6-6 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 8-3 when they hit at least one homer.