John Lackey (1-0, 4.34 ERA) and Cole Hamels (0-2, 3.75 ERA) start in the first of a four-game series between the St. Louis Cardinals (12-5) and the Philadelphia Phillies (7-12) at Busch Stadium. Action begins at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Apr. 27 and can be seen on TCN-PHI and FSN-MW.
Lackey is 2-3 with a 3.38 ERA in his appearances against the Phillies, and goes up against a below-average Philadelphia offense which is batting just .214 this season. Matt Holliday (.358, 7 Rs, 1 HR, 10 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. Hamels is 2-4 with a 3.25 ERA when pitching against the Cardinals. He takes on a quality St. Louis offense which is hitting .265 this season. Freddy Galvis (.361, 6 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 3 for 3 yesterday with two runs.
St. Louis is a -133 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. The Cardinals have recorded an overall money line of +742 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 9-2. St. Louis is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 9-1 SU record in its last ten outings. The Cardinals have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the NL in home offense with 4.2 runs per game. The Cardinals are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 8.5 per game. St. Louis strikes out the least of any team in the NL at home, with only 5.0 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cardinals, who have a team ERA of only 1.99. The Cardinals are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.08 so far this season.
In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -484 and a disappointing record of 6-10 as the underdog. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.3 per game, ranking fourth in the NL.
Lackey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 4-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Under
The Phillies won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Cardinals are 1-3. The Phillies are 3-2 in close games this season.
The Cardinals and the Phillies are both 1-1 in games that go into extra innings.
The Phillies managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Cardinals who are heading in with a 3-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 8-5. The Phillies have a 4-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 49 this season. St. Louis ranks 20th with 66 runs.
Ranking 22nd, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 47 this season. St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 51.
When the Cardinals hit at least one home run, they are 7-2. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 3-4 record.