James Shields (2-0, 3.24 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (11-9) meet Collin McHugh (3-0, 2.41 ERA) and the Houston Astros (11-7) in the first of a three-game interleague series at Petco Park. The game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Apr. 27 and will air on ROOT-SW and FSN-SD.
Shields has a 1.74 ERA and a 2-1 record in his career against the Astros, and is up against a struggling Houston offense that's hitting just .226 on the year. Matt Kemp (.350, 16 Rs, 1 HR, 14 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one stolen base. The Astros were victorious the last time McHugh pitched. He went, going 7.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out three and walking two in a 6-3 victory over the Mariners. Jake Marisnick (.364, 9 Rs, 2 HRs, 8 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been doing well to start the season for the Astros, going 2 for 4 yesterday with three runs, one home run, two RBIs, and two stolen bases.
San Diego, a -141 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Houston. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is six runs. The Padres perform well as a favorite with a 5-2 record and have an overall money line of +93. They are 5-5 SU and perfect as the favorite (1-0) in their last 10 games. The Padres rank third in the majors in extra base hits with 67.
On the other side, the Astros have a nice record of 6-4 when they are the underdog and are +415 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 5-2 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 7-3. Houston is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 20 stolen bases. Switching gears to Houston's pitching staff, they have a WHIP of 1.08 on the year, good for third in the league.
This game will feature McHugh (RHP) on the mound against the Padres, who have a 6-8 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Astros will be the right-hander Shields. They sport a 6-5 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
The Astros won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Padres are 4-4. The Astros are 3-1 in close games this season.
When the Astros play into extra innings, they have a 2-0 record. The Padres are 0-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Astros are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Padres have a record of 5-1 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 7-4. The Padres have an 8-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th in runs, Houston has earned 70 this season. San Diego ranks third with 96 runs.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 50 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at fourth with 69.
The Padres are 8-5 when they hit at least one home run. Houston has the same record when hitting one or more homers.