In the first of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (8-11) and the New York Mets (8-11) at Marlins Park, Jarred Cosart (1-1, 3.63 ERA) and Dillon Gee (0-1, 5.60 ERA) take the mound. The Marlins go into this series looking to continue a five-game winning streak. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Apr. 27 and will air on SNY and FSN-FL.
In his most recent outing, Cosart pitched 6.0 innings, giving up one run and striking out four in a 6-1 victory over the Phillies. Adeiny Hechavarria (.333, 15 Rs, 2 HRs, 16 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with three RBIs. In his career against the Marlins, Gee is 3-1 with a 3.30 ERA. He meets a solid Miami offense that's batting .265. Travis d'Arnaud (.317, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs) has been doing well to start the season for the Mets, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Miami is a small -113 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Marlins perform poorly as a favorite with a 4-6 record and have an overall money line of -390. They have not performed well against their division, earning an SU record of 7-9 and a 3-4 record when they were the favorite. Whenever an NL East opponent shows up on the calendar, the Marlins pitch better. They allow an average of 4.1 runs per game, but allow just 3.7 against teams from their own division.
On the other side, the Mets have a record of 4-3 when they are the underdog and are +1,068 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 13-3 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 3-2 record. The Mets rank fourth in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Mets average 3.4 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have a WHIP of 1.10, fourth best in the MLB.
So far this season, the Mets are 4-0 against the Marlins. The Marlins will take on a right-hander (Gee) in this game. They have struggled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 5-10. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Cosart. They sport an 11-3 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 13-3 against their divisional rivals, while the Marlins are 7-9.
Miami has won 33% (3-6) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 91% (10-1) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Mets have a record of 1-2 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 0-5. The Mets have a 5-5 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 11 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 14.
Miami and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Miami sits at sixth with 8.67 hits per game and New York ranks ninth with 8.00.
Ranking 16th, New York is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.688). Miami ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .700.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 8-5. When the Marlins allow one or more homers, they have a 5-6 record.