Trevor Bauer (2-0, 0.95 ERA) and Jeremy Guthrie (1-1, 5.50 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (6-12) and the Kansas City Royals (13-6) at Progressive Field. The Royals won the last game 6-2 and Kansas City leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 6:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 28 and can be seen on FSN-KC and STO.
Bauer makes his return to the Indians rotation after a bout with food poisoning, as he goes up against a quality Kansas City offense which is batting .297 this season. Guthrie once again faces the team that drafted him out of Stanford more than a decade ago. He is up against a below-average Cleveland offense which is hitting just .232 this season. Mike Moustakas (.342, 16 Rs, 3 HRs, 7 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 4 for 5 yesterday with two runs and one RBI.
Cleveland is a -130 favorite against Kansas City and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Indians have recorded an overall money line of -674 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 3-6. Cleveland has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 2-6 and 4-10 as the favorite and SU respectively. Cleveland's batters do not strike out very often, with only 6.9 per game. Cleveland's pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.9 against fellow AL Central members, compared to its 4.2 season average.
As for their opponent, Kansas City is coming in with an overall money line of +568 and an impressive record of 6-1 as the dog. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-1 record, and a 5-5 record SU. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is fourth in the AL. The Royals are tough outs for opponents, leading the AL with 10.3 hits per game. The Royals are an excellent base stealing team with 18 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. Kansas City's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 2.93 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Royals are the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.07 for the season. The Royals have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 7.2 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Royals have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Indians have a 5-5 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Ventura takes the mound. House (RHP) will be on the hill against the Royals, who have a 5-4 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The Royals hold an 8-5 record against the AL Central Division this season, while the Indians have a 4-11 record against the division.
Cleveland has won 38% (3-5) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Kansas City has won 86% (6-1) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Indians are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Royals have an 8-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 0-3. The Indians have a 1-9 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, Kansas City has hit 14 this season. Cleveland ranks 14th with 16 home runs.
Ranking first in hits, Kansas City has earned 10.28 per game this season. Cleveland ranks 11th with 8.00 hits.
Ranking 21st, Cleveland is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.656). Kansas City ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .793.
When the Royals allow at least one home run, they are 8-3. When the Indians allow one or more homers, they have a 4-8 record.