David Phelps (1-0, 3.55 ERA) and Rafael Montero (0-1, 4.15 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (8-12) and the New York Mets (15-5) at Marlins Park. The Mets won the last game 3-1 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 28 and can be seen on SNY and FSN-FL.
Phelps pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out five and walking two in a 9-1 win over the Phillies. Giancarlo Stanton (.274, 14 Rs, 5 HRs, 17 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Montero is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA when pitching against the Marlins. He is up against a quality Miami offense which is hitting .261 this season. Travis d'Arnaud (.317, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Mets, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Miami is a -125 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -390 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 4-6. Miami has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 3-4 and 7-9 as the favorite and SU respectively. Miami's pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.7 against fellow NL East members, compared to its 4.1 season average.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 4-4 record and an overall money line of +968. They have been playing solid baseball as the underdog with a 3-2 record against teams in their division, and a 13-3 record SU. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.3 per game, ranking fourth in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.08 for the season.
The Mets lead the season series, 5-0. The Marlins have a bad 5-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Montero takes the mound. Phelps (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 2-4 record on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. Their overall record against righties isn't as positive at 11-4.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets hold a 14-3 record in matchups against NL East Division rivals, while the Marlins currently sit at 7-10 in these games.
In extra innings, the Marlins are 1-0.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 1-2 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 8-5. The Mets have an 8-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Miami and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in runs. Miami sits at 10th with 86 runs this season and New York ranks ninth with 89.
Ranking 20th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 53 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 66.
The Marlins are 3-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mets are 8-2 when they hit at least one homer.