In the second of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (9-10) and the Milwaukee Brewers (9-10) at the Great American Ball Park, Homer Bailey (0-1, 5.56 ERA) and Kyle Lohse (1-3, 7.94 ERA) get the ball. The Reds won the last game 9-6 and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 28 and will air on FSN-WI and FSN-OH.
Bailey has a 4.86 ERA and a 4-8 record in his career against the Brewers, but is up against a less-than-stellar Milwaukee offense that's hitting just .228 on the year. In his career against the Reds, Lohse is 8-5 with a 2.69 ERA. He meets a struggling Cincinnati offense that's batting just .222. Adam Lind (.333, 7 Rs, 3 HRs, 12 RBIs) has been doing well offensively for the Brewers, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Cincinnati is a considerable -201 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at seven runs. The Reds perform well as a favorite with a 3-2 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-150). They have done well as the favorite in games (1-1), but performed poorly SU (3-7) against their division opponents. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 23 steals. Turning to the pitching staff, the Reds are fifth in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.0 per game. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.6 strikeouts per game.
Across the field, the Brewers have a subpar record of 2-8 when they are the underdog and are -1,199 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-6 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 2-8.
In their previous five games this season, the Reds have a 4-1 record. This game will feature Lohse (RHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have a 7-7 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Bailey will take the mound against the Brewers, who have a 4-12 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
The Brewers currently sit below .500 against the NL Central Division at 4-13, and the Reds have a 9-10 record.
When the Reds play into extra innings, they have a 1-3 record. The Brewers are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Brewers are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Reds have a record of 2-2 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 2-2. The Reds have a 4-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th in runs, Milwaukee has earned 61 this season. Cincinnati ranks 15th with 77 runs.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 40 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 64.
When the Reds hit at least one home run, they are 7-6. When the Brewers hit at least one homer, they have a 3-4 record.