Michael Wacha (3-0, 1.33 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (12-6) meet Severino Gonzalez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (8-12) in the second of a four-game series at Busch Stadium. The Phillies won the last game 4-1 and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 8:15 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 28 and will air on CSN-PHI and FSN-MW.
In his most recent outing, Wacha pitched 7.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out six and walking two in a 4-1 victory over the Nationals. Matt Carpenter (.373, 15 Rs, 3 HRs, 11 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. Odubel Herrera (.300, 8 Rs, 4 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
St. Louis is a considerable -201 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at seven runs. The Cardinals perform well as a favorite with a 9-3 record and have an overall money line of +620. They are 7-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Cardinals come into the game with the NL's fourth-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 4.2 runs per game in their own ballpark. Don't expect the St. Louis hitters to swing wildly in their own ballpark. They average an NL-low 5.0 strikeouts per home game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Cardinals lead the NL in ERA with a 2.24 team average. The Cardinals don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fourth in the league with a 1.09 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Phillies come into this game with a weak win percentage of .375 when playing as the underdog (6-10) and an overall money line of -384. The Phillies average just 7.3 strikeouts per road game, one of the lowest marks in the NL.
So far this season, the Phillies are 1-0 against the Cardinals. This game will feature Gonzalez (RHP) on the mound against the Cardinals, who have a 5-1 home and 11-4 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Phillies will be the right-hander Wacha. They sport a 5-11 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Under
Philadelphia has won 50% (6-6) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, St. Louis has won 57% (4-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Cardinals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Phillies have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
It looks like the Phillies have a slight leg up on the Cardinals, as the Phillies have won their last two games while the Cardinals have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 8-5. The Phillies have a 5-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 53 this season. St. Louis ranks near the bottom at 23rd with 67.
Ranking 24th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 48 this season. St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 55.
When the Cardinals hit at least one home run, they are 7-2. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 3-4 record.