R.A. Dickey (0-2, 5.25 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (10-11) are in Boston to meet Rick Porcello (1-2, 6.48 ERA) and the Red Sox (11-10) in a game that could be high scoring. This is the last of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The Blue Jays won the last game 11-8 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 6:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 29 and will air on RSN and NESN.
Porcello is 2-5 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.27 WHIP against the Blue Jays in his career. Hanley Ramirez (.295, 15 Rs, 9 HRs, 20 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. In his career against the Red Sox, Dickey is 6-3 with a 4.04 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and 66 strikeouts. Josh Donaldson (.349, 18 Rs, 5 HRs, 16 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 3 for 5 yesterday with three runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Boston is a -125 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. The Red Sox are 7-5 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +42. They have an SU record of 7-7 against teams in their division and a 4-3 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Red Sox come into the game with the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.0 runs per game. The Red Sox typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an AL-high 4.2 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, an area where the Red Sox are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average 8.9 K's per home game.
On the other side, the Blue Jays have a subpar record of 4-6 when they are the underdog and are -390 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-4 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 4-6. They sport the second-ranked offense in the AL, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Toronto is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 70 extra base hits.
The Red Sox will take on a right-hander (Dickey) in this game and have a 9-7 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Blue Jays will be the right-hander Porcello. They sport a 7-10 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
The Blue Jays are an even 9-9 against the division, while the Red Sox sit at 7-8.
When the Blue Jays play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Red Sox are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Blue Jays are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 11 runs. The Red Sox have a 0-3 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Blue Jays are 9-1. The Red Sox have a 10-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 116 this season. Boston ranks second with 109 runs.
Boston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 91 this season. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 70.
When the Red Sox hit at least one home run, they are 7-7. When the Blue Jays hit at least one homer, they have a 9-4 record.