Mat Latos (0-3, 7.31 ERA) and Bartolo Colon (4-0, 2.77 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (9-12) and the New York Mets (15-6) at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 4-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 29 and can be seen on SNY and FSN-FL.
Latos is 2-4 with a 2.63 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 53 strikeouts against the Mets. Dee Gordon (.400, 11 Rs, 10 RBIs, 8 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. Colon is 4-2 with a 3.10 ERA against the Marlins in his career. He takes on a quality Miami offense that's batting .259. Lucas Duda (.311, 12 Rs, 2 HRs, 11 RBIs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Miami is a -116 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -527 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 4-7. Miami has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 3-5 and 7-10 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Marlins are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.8 hits per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 5-4 record and an overall money line of +1,095. They have been playing solid baseball as the underdog with a 4-2 record against fellow NL East members, and a 14-3 record SU. New York is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.4 per game. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.08 for the season.
The Mets have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Marlins have a bad 5-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Colon takes the mound. Latos (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 12-4 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 14-4 against their divisional rivals, while the Marlins are 8-10.
While the Marlins have never recorded more than a single error in a game this season, the Mets just recorded their third instance of two or more errors following their latest outing.
In extra innings, the Marlins are 1-0.
The Mets are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Marlins have a record of 4-5 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 8-5. The Mets have an 8-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th in runs, Miami has earned 90 this season. New York ranks ninth with 92 runs.
Ranking 18th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 56 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 68.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 3-5. When the Mets hit at least one homer, they have an 8-2 record.