Alex Wood (1-0, 3.00 ERA) and Jordan Zimmermann (1-2, 5.23 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (10-10) and the Washington Nationals (8-13) at Turner Field. The Nationals won the last game 13-12 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 29 and can be seen on MASN and SPSO.
Wood is 3-1 with a 1.49 ERA in his appearances against the Nationals, and goes up against a below-average Washington offense which is batting just .224 this season. A.J. Pierzynski (.439, 8 Rs, 3 HRs, 12 RBIs) had a good game yesterday, going 4 for 4 with one run and four RBIs. Zimmermann is 4-2 with a 2.93 ERA when pitching against the Braves. He is up against a quality Atlanta offense which is hitting .256 this season. Bryce Harper (.261, 14 Rs, 5 HRs, 12 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Washington takes on Atlanta as a -116 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have an overall money line of +277 and a record as the underdog of 7-7. Within its division, Atlanta has a 3-2 as the underdog and an 8-8 SU. It's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Braves. The 3.8 runs that Atlanta's pitchers allow per game makes them the fifth-ranked staff in the NL. The Braves are the second-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.4 hits per game so far this season.
In the other locker room, Washington is coming in with an overall money line of -954 and a disappointing record of 6-10as the favorite. They have played poorly as the favorite with a 5-9 record against NL East rivals, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, the Nationals have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 3.5 runs per game by averaging 2.9 in those contests. The Nationals average 4.5 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.9 against division foes. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the Nationals have the fourth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.6 walks allowed per game.
The Braves have an 8-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Zimmermann takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
The Braves are 8-9 against their divisional rivals, while the Nationals are 6-9 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Washington is 5-7, while Atlanta is 5-8.
The Braves managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Nationals who are coming in with a 6-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When outhit, the Braves and the Nationals both have losing records. Atlanta has a 1-6 record in these situations while Washington is 2-12.
Atlanta ranks in the top half of the league at 14th when it comes to home runs, hitting 17 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 19.
Ranking 14th, Washington is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.15 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.05.
Ranking 20th, Washington is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.668). Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .720.
The Nationals are 2-5 when they allow at least one home run. The Braves perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 3-6 record.