Michael Pineda (3-0, 3.86 ERA) and the New York Yankees (13-8) go up against Drew Smyly (0-0, 3.86 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (11-10) in the last of a three-game division series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 4-2 and New York leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 29 and will air on SunSports, YES and MLB Netwo.
Pineda is 2-1 with a 3.23 ERA, 27 strikeouts and seven walks against the Rays in his career. Brett Gardner (.311, 15 Rs, 1 HR, 7 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one RBI, and one stolen base. In his pitching opportunities against the Yankees, Smyly is 1-0 with a 1.45 ERA, 17 strikeouts and three walks.
New York is a -157 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Yankees have a winning record of 6-4 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +393. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (4-1). The Yankees are a dangerous hitting team with 73 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been very patient at the plate during home games, ranking fourth in the AL with an average of 3.5 walks per game. New York's pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 2.6 during that span, compared to its 4.0 season average. An area where the Yankees are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 9.2 K's per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Rays come into this game with a win percentage of .545 when playing as the underdog (6-5) and an overall money line of +244. Against teams in their division, they are 9-8 SU and 4-4 as the underdog. They also allow just 6.9 hits per game, good for tops in the AL. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.1 strikeouts per game.
The Yankees are 5-0 against the Rays this season. The Yankees will take on a left-hander (Smyly) in this game and have a 4-2 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Pineda will take the mound against the Rays, who have an 8-6 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
This season, the Rays hold an even 9-9 record against AL East teams. The Yankees sit at 8-6 against these opponents.
When the Yankees and the Rays play into extra innings, both teams are winless with a 0-1 record.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Yankees have a 2-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Rays are 1-7. The Yankees have a 3-7 record when opponents outhit them.
Tampa Bay ranks in the top 10 of the league at 10th when it comes to home runs, hitting 19 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 27.
New York and Tampa Bay both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. New York sits at sixth with 8.30 hits per game and Tampa Bay ranks ninth with 8.00.
Ranking 11th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.716). New York ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .753.
The Rays are 4-6 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 5-6 when they allow at least one homer.