In the last of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (9-11) and the Detroit Tigers (9-11) at Target Field, Phil Hughes (0-4, 4.39 ERA) and Shane Greene (3-1, 3.00 ERA) get the start. The Twins won the last game 3-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 29 and will air on FSN-DET and MLB Network.
Hughes is 7-7 with a 4.07 ERA against the Tigers in his career, and is up against a solid Detroit offense that's hitting .281 on the year. Kurt Suzuki (.241, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 8 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 2 with one RBI. In his career against the Twins, Greene is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, and five strikeouts.
Minnesota, a +107 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Detroit. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Twins are 8-10 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -95. They have disappointing records of 6-9 as the underdog and 6-10 SU within their division.
On the other side, the Tigers have a nice record of 10-5 when they are favored and are +720 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 11-2 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 9-2 record. Detroit has stepped up their play against division opponents. They have averaged 6.1 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.8. One of the top hitting teams in the AL are the Tigers, who average 9.7 hits per game. The Tigers have racked up 23 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The Tigers are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.72 ERA this season. They also allow just 2.8 walks per game, good for fifth in the AL.
In their previous five games this season, the Tigers have a 4-1 record. This game will feature Greene (RHP) on the mound against the Twins, who have a 4-6 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Hughes will take the mound against the Tigers. Against righty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 9-5 record overall and 3-1 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Under
The Tigers sit at 11-3 against their divisional rivals, while the Twins are 7-10.
When leading after 7 innings, Detroit is 8-4, while Minnesota is 1-5.
The Twins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Tigers have a 4-4 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 0-5. The Twins have a 2-10 record when opponents outhit them.
Minnesota ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting nine this season. Detroit ranks in the top half at 13th with 18.
Ranking 13th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.68 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at second with 9.70.
Ranking 28th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.615). Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .781.
The Tigers are 3-5 when they allow at least one home run. The Twins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 5-9 record.