Alfredo Simon (4-0, 1.65 ERA) gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers (15-7) as they go up against Danny Duffy (1-0, 4.15 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (14-7) in the first of a four-game series at Kauffman Stadium. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 30 and will air on FSN-DET and FSN-KC. MLB Netw.
Duffy has a 3.42 ERA and a 1-6 record in his career against the Tigers, and is up against a solid Detroit offense that's hitting .288 on the year. Mike Moustakas (.353, 18 Rs, 3 HRs, 8 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. In his career against the Royals, Simon is 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA. He meets a strong Kansas City offense that's batting .302. Miguel Cabrera (.370, 12 Rs, 5 HRs, 17 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Tigers, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and four RBIs.
Kansas City is a slight -108 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Royals are 6-5 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +817. They have performed well against their division to earn an SU record of 9-5 and a 6-4 record when they were the favorite. The Royals lead the AL in hits with 10.8 per game. The Royals are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 18 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. As for the pitching staff, the Royals lead the AL in ERA with a 2.99 team average. The Royals are fifth in the league in WHIP at 1.11.
Switching gears, the Tigers come into this game with a solid win percentage of .833 when playing as the underdog (5-1) and an overall money line of +677. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have an unblemished 1-0 record when they were an underdog to win. When it comes to scoring runs, the Tigers have performed much better than normal against teams from the AL Central. During those games, they averaged six runs per game, above their 4.9 season average. The Tigers have racked up 24 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Detroit pitchers. They allowed 5.5 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.1. They also allow just 2.7 walks per game, fifth-best in the AL.
This game will feature Simon (RHP) on the mound against the Royals, who have a 7-4 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Tigers will be the left-hander Duffy. They sport a 5-1 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The Tigers hold a 12-3 record in matchups against AL Central Division rivals, while the Royals currently sit at 9-6 in these games.
In extra innings, the Royals are 1-0.
The Tigers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Royals have a 2-4 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Royals are 13-3. The Tigers have a 13-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking sixth in runs, Detroit has earned 107 this season. Kansas City ranks fourth with 111 runs.
Ranking 24th, Kansas City is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 50 this season. Detroit ranks in the top five at fifth with 77.
When the Royals hit at least one home run, they are 9-3, well-matched with the Tigers who are 11-3 when hitting one or more homers.