Jacob deGrom (2-2, 2.96 ERA) and Stephen Strasburg (1-2, 4.88 ERA) take the hill in the first of a four-game series between the New York Mets (15-7) and the Washington Nationals (9-13) at Citi Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 30 and can be seen on MASN and SNY.
deGrom is 0-1 with a 3.75 ERA in his appearances against the Nationals, and goes up against a below-average Washington offense which is batting just .232 this season. Lucas Duda (.312, 13 Rs, 2 HRs, 12 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI. When pitching against the Mets, Strasburg is 3-2 with a 2.55 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 54 strikeouts. Bryce Harper (.274, 17 Rs, 5 HRs, 12 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Nationals, going 2 for 4 yesterday with three runs.
New York is a narrow -106 favorite at home against Washington. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of six runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +995 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 10-1. New York is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 7-3 SU record in its last ten outings. The Mets have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.4 runs per game. The Mets are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 8.6 per game. New York leads the whole NL in walks at home, earning an average of 4.2 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 3.00. The Mets are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.10 so far this season.
As for their opponent, Washington is coming in with an overall money line of -851 and a disappointing record of 2-3 as the underdog. They have managed to pull off a perfect record while playing as the underdog against NL East foes, and have a 6-9 SU record.
The Mets lead the season series, 2-1. The Mets have a perfect 9-0 record at home (12-5 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Strasburg takes the mound. deGrom (RHP) will be on the hill against the Nationals, who have a 6-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets hold a 14-5 record in matchups against NL East rivals, while the Nationals currently sit at 7-9 in these games.
The Nationals are 2-1 when they go into extra innings.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 2-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Nationals are 2-12. The Mets have a 6-6 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks in the bottom half of the league at 20th when it comes to home runs, hitting 16 this season. Washington ranks in the top half at 11th with 20.
Ranking 11th, Washington is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.52 per game. New York ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 7.90.
New York and Washington both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 19th with an OPS of .680 and Washington ranks 17th with an OPS of .681.
When the Nationals allow at least one home run, they are 2-5. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have an 8-6 record.