In the first of a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs (12-8) and the Milwaukee Brewers (12-8) at Wrigley Field, Jon Lester (0-2, 6.23 ERA) and Wily Peralta (0-3, 5.04 ERA) get the start. The game gets underway at 2:20 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 1 and will air on FSN-WI and CSN-CHI.
Lester is 0-2 with a 2.93 ERA against the Brewers in his career, and faces a struggling Milwaukee offense that's hitting just .227 on the year. Anthony Rizzo (.324, 16 Rs, 2 HRs, 9 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 3 Wednesday. In his pitching opportunities against the Cubs, Peralta is 3-4 with a 3.58 ERA, 44 strikeouts and 14 walks. Adam Lind (.333, 8 Rs, 4 HRs, 13 RBIs) has been doing well offensively for the Brewers, going 2 for 5 Wednesday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Against teams in the NL Central, the Cubs have an SU record of 9-5. The Cubs come into the game with the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking second in all of baseball with 25 steals. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Cubs rank fifth in the NL in ERA with a 3.71 team average. The Cubs are third in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.0 per game. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 9.1 strikeouts per game.
Against divisional rivals, the Brewers are 5-14 SU. Milwaukee has been playing better lately, averaging 4.1 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.2.
The Cubs will take on a right-hander (Peralta) in this game and have a 10-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
The Cubs sit at 9-5 against the division, while the Brewers are struggling at 5-14.
Milwaukee has won 25% (2-6) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 62% (5-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cubs are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 11 strikeouts. The Brewers have a record of 1-1 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 2-13. The Cubs have a 3-7 record when opponents outhit them.
Milwaukee ranks near the bottom of the league at 22nd when it comes to home runs, hitting 15 this season. Chicago ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 16.
Ranking 13th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.55 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.60.
Ranking 28th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.627). Chicago ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .709.
The Brewers are 3-13 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cubs are 6-5 when they allow at least one homer.