Tom Koehler (2-2, 4.50 ERA) and Jerome Williams (2-1, 3.80 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (10-12) and the Philadelphia Phillies (8-15) at Marlins Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 1 and can be seen on TCN-PHI and FSN-FL.
Koehler is 2-1 with a 4.13 ERA in his appearances against the Phillies, and goes up against a below-average Philadelphia offense which is batting just .223 this season. Giancarlo Stanton (.284, 16 Rs, 6 HRs, 21 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong play Wednesday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. Williams is 1-1 with a 6.63 ERA when pitching against the Marlins. He takes on a quality Miami offense which is hitting .264 this season. Freddy Galvis (.355, 9 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Miami is a -168 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of -327 and a record as the favorite of 6-7. Within its division, Miami has a 5-5 record as favorite and a 9-10 record SU. Miami's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.9 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.0. The Marlins are the second-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.6 hits per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -452 and a disappointing record of 7-12 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 5-9 record against fellow NL East members, and a 4-6 record SU. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out with just 6.6 per game, ranking third in the NL.
The Marlins lead the season series, 2-1. The Marlins have a 7-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Williams takes the mound. Koehler (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 6-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Under
The Phillies currently sit below .500 against the NL East Division at 6-10, and the Marlins have a 9-10 record.
When the Marlins play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Phillies are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
After a weak showing last week where they got in eight hits, the Phillies need to step it up. The Marlins have a record of 8-8 when opponents get eight hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 1-5. The Phillies have a 3-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Tied at 26th for total home runs, Miami and Philadelphia have each hit 13 homers this season.
Ranking 15th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.27 per game. Miami ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.82.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.609). Miami ranks in the bottom half at 17th with an OPS of .690.
The Phillies are 5-9 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 6-7 when they allow at least one homer.