Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Matt Harvey (4-0, 3.04 ERA) and the New York Mets (15-8) go up against Max Scherzer (1-2, 1.26 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (10-13) in the second of a four-game series at Citi Field. The Nationals won the last game 8-2 and Washington leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 1 and will air on MASN and SNY.
Harvey is 2-1 with a 0.82 ERA against the Nationals in his career, and is up against a less-than-stellar Washington offense that's hitting just .236 on the year. Lucas Duda (.325, 13 Rs, 2 HRs, 12 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3. In his career against the Mets, Scherzer is 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA. He gets a struggling New York offense that's batting just .240. Bryce Harper (.286, 18 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well for the Nationals, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and three RBIs.
New York is a slight -111 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at six runs. The Mets perform well as a favorite with a 10-1 record and have an overall money line of +887. They are 6-4 SU and perfect as the favorite (4-0) in their last 10 games. The Mets come into the game with the NL's second-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 5.3 runs per game in their own ballpark. The Mets are a superb hitting team with 8.6 hits per home game, one of the highest marks in the NL. The Mets typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an NL-high 4.2 walks per home game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Mets are fourth in the league in WHIP at 1.13.
Switching gears, the Nationals come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (2-3) and an overall money line of -751. Against teams in their division, they are 7-9 SU and have an unblemished 1-0 record when they were an underdog to win.
This game will feature Scherzer (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have not lost a game (9-0) when they take on a right-handed starter at home. Taking the hill against the Nationals will be the right-hander Harvey. They sport a 6-11 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets hold a 14-6 record in matchups against NL East rivals, while the Nationals currently sit at 8-9 in these games.
The Nationals are 2-1 when they go into extra innings.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 2-4 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Nationals are 2-12. The Mets have a 6-7 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks in the bottom half of the league at 20th when it comes to home runs, hitting 16 this season. Washington ranks in the top half at 11th with 20.
Both New York and Washington are tied at 10th in hits, notching 7.86 per game.
Ranking 23rd, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.671). Washington ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .684.
When the Nationals allow at least one home run, they are 2-5. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have an 8-6 record.