Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 4.60 ERA) and Mark Buehrle (3-1, 4.94 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Cleveland Indians (7-14) and the Toronto Blue Jays (11-12) at Progressive Field. The Blue Jays won the last game 5-1 and Toronto leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 1 and can be seen on RSN and STO.
Carrasco pitched 4.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering five runs, striking out five and walking two in an 8-6 defeat to the Tigers. Brandon Moss (.238, 10 Rs, 4 HRs, 14 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4. Buehrle is 16-17 with a 4.75 ERA against the Indians in his career. He is up against a below-average Cleveland offense that's batting just .238.
Cleveland is a -119 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Indians have recorded an overall money line of -843 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 4-8. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 9.9.
In games where it is the underdog, Toronto has a 5-7 record and an overall money line of -376. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-5 record, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, they average 5.3 runs per game, which is good for second in the AL. The Blue Jays have a dynamic offense, ranking fourth in the league with 74 extra base hits.
The Blue Jays have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Indians have a bad 1-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Buehrle takes the mound. Carrasco (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have an 8-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Toronto is 5-3, while Cleveland is 3-6.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Indians are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Blue Jays have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When outhit, the Indians and the Blue Jays both have records of 2-10.
Ranking 12th in home runs, Cleveland has hit 19 this season. Toronto ranks sixth with 28 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Cleveland is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.85 per game. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.23.
Ranking 21st, Cleveland is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.675). Toronto ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .741.
The Blue Jays are 9-8 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Indians are 5-9 when they allow at least one homer.