Chris Young (1-0, 1.86 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (15-7) go up against Kyle Lobstein (2-1, 3.50 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (15-8) in the second of a four-game division series at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals won the last game 8-1 and Kansas City leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 1 and will air on FSN-DET and FSN-KC.
Young is 2-0 with a 1.67 ERA against the Tigers in his career, but is up against a solid Detroit offense that's hitting .286 on the year. Mike Moustakas (.356, 19 Rs, 3 HRs, 9 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and one RBI. The Tigers were victorious the last time Lobstein pitched. He tossed, going 7.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out four and walking two in an 8-6 victory over the Indians. Miguel Cabrera (.373, 12 Rs, 5 HRs, 17 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 2 yesterday.
Kansas City is a small -114 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Royals are 6-5 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +717. They have impressive records of 6-4 as the favorite and 9-6 SU within their division. The Royals lead the AL in hits with 10.7 per game. The Royals are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 20 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Transitioning to the Kansas City defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Royals, who allow an AL-low 3.5 runs per game. The Royals don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking second in the league with a 1.11 WHIP.
On the other side, the Tigers have a nice record of 5-1 when they are the underdog and are +677 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have an unblemished 1-0 record when they were an underdog to win. Detroit has stepped up their play against division opponents. They have averaged 6.1 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.9. The Tigers have racked up 24 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Detroit pitchers. They allowed 5.5 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.1. They also allow just 2.6 walks per game, third-best in the AL.
The only other game between the two teams went Kansas City's way. The Royals will take on a left-hander (Lobstein) in this game. They have a 7-2 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season and are a perfect 4-0 at home. Taking the hill against the Tigers will be the right-hander Young. They sport a 10-6 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The Royals and the Tigers hold winning records against the AL Central Division this season. The Royals sit at 10-6 and the Tigers have a 12-4 record.
In extra innings, the Royals are 1-0.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Tigers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Royals have a 4-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Royals are 14-3. The Tigers have a 13-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking seventh, Detroit sits in the top 10 of the league in runs, scoring 108 this season. Kansas City ranks in the top five at second with 119.
Ranking 25th, Kansas City is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 52 this season. Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with 80.
The Royals are 10-3 when they hit at least one home run. The Tigers perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with an 11-3 record.