The month of May is here and we are on the eve of the biggest sports day of the year. We still have to get through Friday first, which is just fine because there are three playoff games on tap and a collection of MLB contests. Game 6 between the Atlanta Hawks and the Brooklyn Nets is the lone NBA matchup tonight. Two NHL second-round series begin as the Minnesota Wild and Chicago Blackhawks hit the ice, along with the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning. A full slate of 15 MLB games is on tap, including a rare situation where the Baltimore Orioles are the home team at Tropicana Field against the Tampa Bay Rays.
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Here are the sports betting trends of the day for May 1:
NBA: Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets (8:00 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play on Atlanta against the spread in road games with a total between 200 and 204.5 points. The Hawks are 10-1 (+8.9 units) this season.
The Hawks can close out the series against the Nets with a win on Friday night, but Atlanta has not had any road success in this series as of yet. Their Game 4 fourth quarter collapse is the reason why there is a Game 6. Atlanta is favored once again in this one at -3.5 or -4 depending on your book, but the number has inched down from the opening line of -4.5. The total is slowly creeping up, so it should stay within the range that activates this trend.
MLB: Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals (8:10 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play against Kansas City using the money line in home games in May. The Royals are 8-21 (-18.75 units) over the last three seasons.
The Royals battered Alfredo Simon in the first game on Thursday night to wrap up the month of April with a win. On Friday, Chris Young makes a spot start for the Royals against Kyle Lobstein. Young is filling in for Edinson Volquez, who had his start pushed back a day after a suspension was levied for his role in last week’s brawl with the White Sox. The Royals, for whatever reason, have struggled at home in May in the past.
NHL: Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks (9:30 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play on Minnesota using the money line in road games in the second half of the season. The Wild are 18-8 (+12.2 units) this season.
Minnesota was the best team in the NHL in the second half of the season, and that includes Ottawa’s 20-1-2 run to get into the playoffs. The Wild and Blackhawks are the last two teams standing from the Central Division, even though Minnesota finished fourth and was the first wild card team and Chicago finished third. Each team won in six games last series. The Blackhawks are favored in the -135 range in this one. For more on the game, check out the preview, which is hyperlinked above.
MLB: Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles (7:05 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play on Baltimore using the money line in home night games. The Orioles are 46-20 (+24.1 units) over the last two seasons.
Well, this trend doesn’t apply to Friday night or the weekend as a whole because the Orioles are playing this “home” series in Tampa. This is a very unique situation. The Orioles offense also has an advantage at Camden Yards because of how the lineup is constructed. For more thoughts on how this series might go, check out Adam Burke’s latest recording of The Bettor’s Box.
MLB: New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play against Boston using the money line in games at home with a money line of +100 to -125. The Red Sox are 7-19 (-15.15 units) over the last two seasons.
The Red Sox and Justin Masterson are a slight favorite at home against the Yankees and CC Sabathia. This trend is hard to buy in to because the Red Sox were so awful last season that it skewed a lot of their trends. They are a much different team this season. What is worth paying attention to is that there have been line movements on all of Sabathia’s starts this season. Keep an eye out for that once again today.
NHL: Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks (9:30 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play under in Chicago games when revenging a loss versus an opponent. The under is 26-9 (+16.55 units) this season.
The Blackhawks have been a top defensive team all season long. The Wild have been one since they added Devan Dubnyk between the pipes. Joel Quenneville is a very good coach and the Blackhawks are one of the top teams at making adjustments on the fly. Mike Yeo has done an excellent job with Minnesota during his tenure. These two teams should be very well prepared for Game 1.
MLB: Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers (8:05 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play over in Oakland games against division opponents. The over is 15-4 (+11.2 units) this season.
The A’s offense has done some good things so far this season and the back of their rotation has been pretty shaky. As a result, they’ve played a lot of overs against divisional foes this season. The A’s offense is often underrated because it lacks the star power that some teams have, but their use of platoon advantages remains a good way of getting cheap offensive production. The total for this game is at 8.5.
MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play over in LA Dodgers home games after a win. The over is 37-17 (+20.45 units) over the last two seasons.
The Dodgers seem to do well with sustaining momentum, as most good teams with $200M payrolls tend to do. In all seriousness, the Dodgers have a very good lineup and a lot of players that have a tendency to be streaky hitters. The Dodgers have gotten a lot of offensive production so far this season.
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