Miguel Gonzalez (2-1, 3.42 ERA) and Chris Archer (3-2, 0.84 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (10-11) and the Tampa Bay Rays (13-10) at Tropicana Field. The Rays won the last game 2-0 and Tampa Bay leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 2 and can be seen on SunSports and MASN2.
Gonzalez is 4-4 with a 3.82 ERA in his appearances against the Rays, and goes up against a below-average Tampa Bay offense which is batting just .234 this season. Jimmy Paredes (.372, 10 Rs, 3 HRs, 9 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Archer is 1-3 with a 5.58 ERA when pitching against the Orioles. He takes on a quality Baltimore offense which is hitting .279 this season.
Tampa Bay takes on Baltimore as a -116 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. Though the Orioles have had a solid season in terms of their overall money line (+17), they've have done poorly as an underdog with a record of 3-6. Within its division, Baltimore has a 6-4 as the underdog and a 9-10 SU. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in home offense with 7.1 runs per home game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Orioles are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.7 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Tampa Bay has a 5-4 record and an overall money line of +274. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 4-1 record, and a 6-4 record SU. Tampa Bay is excellent at drawing walks with 3.6 per game, ranking fourth in the AL. The Rays allow 3.9 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.8 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Rays are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.10 for the season.
The Orioles have an 8-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Archer takes the mound. Gonzalez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 9-7 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
The Orioles are 9-11 against their divisional rivals, while the Rays are 11-9 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Tampa Bay is 4-4, while Baltimore is 3-4.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Orioles are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rays have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-7. The Rays have a 1-7 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 12th in home runs, Tampa Bay has hit 19 this season. Baltimore ranks third with 29 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.00 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at second with 9.70.
Ranking 17th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.687). Baltimore ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .803.
When the Rays allow at least one home run, they are 5-6, well-matched with the Orioles who are 6-7 when allowing at least one homer.