Dan Haren (2-1, 3.38 ERA) and Cole Hamels (1-2, 3.19 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (11-12) and the Philadelphia Phillies (8-16) at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 4-3 and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 2 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and FSN-FL.
Haren is 1-6 with a 4.64 ERA in his appearances against the Phillies, but goes up against a below-average Philadelphia offense which is batting just .221 this season. Dee Gordon (.423, 12 Rs, 11 RBIs, 9 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run and one stolen base. Hamels is 9-14 with a 3.09 ERA against the Marlins in his career. He takes on a quality Miami offense that's batting .268. Odubel Herrera (.299, 10 Rs, 8 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Miami is a -120 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of -327 and a record as the favorite of 6-7. Within its division, Miami has a 5-5 record as favorite and a 9-10 record SU. Miami's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.9 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.0. The Marlins are the second-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.6 hits per game so far this season.
In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -552 and a disappointing record of 7-13 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 5-9 record against teams in their division, and a 4-6 record SU. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out with just 6.6 per game, ranking second in the NL. The Phillies average 4.7 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.2 against division foes.
The Marlins lead the season series, 3-1. Haren (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 6-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Under
The Marlins are 10-10 against other teams in their division, while the Phillies are 6-11 against their rivals.
Miami has won 45% (5-6) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Philadelphia has won 46% (6-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Miami batters brought in a solid 13 hits last game. Philadelphia has a record of 0-2 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
It looks like the Marlins have a slight leg up on the Phillies, as the Marlins have won their last three games while the Phillies have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 10-5. The Phillies have a 5-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 66 this season. Miami ranks in the top half at 11th with 101.
Ranking 21st, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 59 this season. Miami ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 61.
The Marlins are 4-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Phillies are 3-7 when they hit at least one homer.