Collin McHugh (3-0, 2.92 ERA) and the Houston Astros (16-7) meet Taijuan Walker (1-2, 6.86 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (10-13) in the third of a four-game division series at Minute Maid Park. The Astros won the last game 4-3, extending an eight-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 2 and will air on ROOT-NW and ROOT-SW.
McHugh has a 4.06 ERA and a 4-2 record in his career against the Mariners, and is up against a less-than-stellar Seattle offense that's hitting just .236 on the year. Jose Altuve (.376, 14 Rs, 2 HRs, 16 RBIs, 9 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Astros, Walker is 3-0 with a 2.67 ERA, 31 strikeouts and 10 walks. Nelson Cruz (.330, 15 Rs, 11 HRs, 23 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Mariners, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Houston is a -140 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Astros have a 4-3 record and overall money line at +1,032. They have impressive records of 3-2 as the favorite and 11-5 SU within their division. Houston has averaged 6.9 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.7. The Astros lead the majors in home runs with 32. The Astros are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 30 steals. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Astros lead the AL in ERA with a 3.04 team average. The Astros lead the league in WHIP at 1.05.
Moving on to the away team, the Mariners come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (2-3) and an overall money line of -523. Over the last 10 games, they were unbeaten as the underdog with a perfect 1-0 record and 5-5 SU. The Seattle pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.1 strikeouts per game.
In their previous five games this season, the Astros have a 4-1 record. The Astros will take on a right-hander (Walker) in this game. They have a 9-5 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season, but are just 2-4 at home. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the right-hander McHugh. They sport a 7-8 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
The Astros hold a 12-5 record in matchups against AL West rivals, while the Mariners currently sit at 9-8 in these games.
When leading after 7 innings, Seattle is 5-0, while Houston is 7-3.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mariners have a 4-10 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
The Astros are coming into the game with eight consecutive wins, while the Mariners currently have a losing streak of two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 5-3. The Astros have a 10-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th in runs, Seattle has earned 82 this season. Houston ranks eighth with 107 runs.
Ranking 22nd, Seattle is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 59 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at third with 87.
The Astros are 12-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mariners are 9-7 when they hit at least one homer.