Ricky Nolasco (0-1, 18.00 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (11-12) go up against Hector Noesi (0-2, 5.23 ERA) and the Chicago White Sox (8-12) in the third of a four-game division series at Target Field. The Twins won the last game 1-0 and Minnesota leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 2 and will air on WGN and FSN-N.
Nolasco has a 5.92 ERA and a 0-2 record in his career against the White Sox, but is up against a struggling Chicago offense that's hitting just .238 on the year. Brian Dozier (.221, 17 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one stolen base. In his career against the Twins, Noesi is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and 30 strikeouts. Avisail Garcia (.310, 11 Rs, 1 HR, 4 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Minnesota is a slight -114 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Twins are unbeaten as a favorite at 0-2, but have fared better with the overall money line (+172). They are 0-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Twins are an exceptional hitting team with 9.2 hits per home game, one of the highest marks in the AL. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Twins don't give up many walks to opposing batters, ranking fourth in the AL with only 2.6 walks allowed per game.
Across the field, the White Sox have a subpar record of 4-8 when they are the underdog and are -492 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 8-11 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 4-7 record. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Chicago batters, who rank third in the AL with 7.3 strikeouts per road game. Switching gears to Chicago's pitching staff, they allow just 2.6 walks per game, third-best in the AL.
In their previous five games this season, the Twins have a 3-2 record. The Twins will take on a right-hander (Noesi) in this game and have a 5-7 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the White Sox will be the right-hander Nolasco. They sport a 6-9 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Under
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games.
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
Chi White Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chi White Sox's last 13 games when playing Minnesota.
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Minnesota.
The Twins are 9-11 against their divisional rivals, while the White Sox are 8-11 against their division.
After last game's shutout win against the Chicago White Sox, the Twins now have three shutouts this season. The White Sox have been shut out in two games this season.
Minnesota has won 17% (1-5) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 40% (2-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Twins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The White Sox have a 2-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
It looks like the Twins have a slight leg up on the White Sox, as the Twins have won their last two games while the White Sox have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the White Sox are 6-1. The Twins have a 9-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Chicago has earned 64 this season. Minnesota ranks 24th with 87 runs.
Ranking 29th, Chicago is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 43 this season. Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 61.
The Twins are 7-3 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The White Sox are 5-4 when they hit at least one homer.