In the last of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (12-12) and the New York Yankees (12-12) at Fenway Park, Joe Kelly (1-0, 4.94 ERA) and Adam Warren (1-1, 4.35 ERA) take the mound. The Yankees won the last game 4-2 and New York leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 8:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and will air on ESPN.
In his most recent outing, Kelly pitched 6.0 innings, allowing five runs, striking out 10 and walking three in a 6-5 loss to the Blue Jays. Hanley Ramirez (.281, 16 Rs, 10 HRs, 22 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Red Sox, Warren is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA, 29 strikeouts and 11 walks. Chris Young (.317, 11 Rs, 6 HRs, 12 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well for the Yankees, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Boston is a -134 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Red Sox have an 8-7 record and overall money line at -102. They have an 8-9 record SU and are 5-5 as favorite within their division. An area where the Red Sox are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.5 K's per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Yankees come into this game with a solid win percentage of .636 when playing as the underdog (7-4) and an overall money line of +463. Over the last 10 games, they were unbeaten as the underdog with a perfect 4-0 record and 8-2 SU. They sport the third-ranked offense in the AL, averaging five runs per game. The Yankees are known for their bats, hitting 82 extra base hits. New York has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.9 in the AL with second walks per game. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the New York pitchers. They've allowed 2.8 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 3.7.
In their previous five games this season, the Yankees have a 3-2 record. The Red Sox will take on a right-hander (Warren) in this game and have a 10-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Kelly will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 10-6 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Red Sox are 8-10 against their divisional rivals, while the Yankees are 10-7 against their division.
When the Red Sox play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Yankees are 0-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 4-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 1-12. The Yankees have a 3-7 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking seventh in home runs, Boston has hit 28 this season. New York ranks third with 31 home runs.
Ranking sixth, New York is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.30 per game. Boston ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.61.
Ranking 13th, Boston is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.709). New York ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .741.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 7-6. When the Red Sox allow one or more homers, they have a 6-11 record.