Michael Wacha (4-0, 2.42 ERA) gets the start for the St. Louis Cardinals (17-6) as they go up against Vance Worley (2-2, 4.50 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (12-12) in the last of a three-game series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 2-1, extending a five-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 2:15 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and will air on ROOT-PIT and FSN-MW.
Wacha has a 1.93 ERA and a 1-0 record in his career against the Pirates, and is up against a struggling Pittsburgh offense that's hitting just .232 on the year. In his career against the Cardinals, Worley is 0-0 with a 4.96 ERA. He meets a solid St. Louis offense that's batting .268. Starling Marte (.253, 13 Rs, 6 HRs, 17 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Pirates, going 3 for 6 yesterday.
St. Louis is a -162 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Cardinals have a winning record of 13-4 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +878. They are 7-2 as the favorite over their last 10 games. St. Louis has averaged 3.7 runs per game during divisional play, lower than its season average of 4.3. St. Louis's pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an NL-low 2.36 team ERA. The Cardinals are fifth in the league in WHIP at 1.13.
Moving on to the away team, the Pirates come into this game with a weak win percentage of .375 when playing as the underdog (3-5) and an overall money line of -22. Against divisional foes, they are 8-9 SU and 3-5 as the underdog. Pittsburgh's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 3.8 runs per game against teams from the NL Central, higher than their season average of 3.2.
The previous two games have all gone St. Louis's way. This game will feature Worley (RHP) on the mound against the Cardinals, who have a 9-1 home and 15-4 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Wacha will take the mound against the Pirates, who have a 12-9 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals sit at 12-4 against their divisional rivals, while the Pirates are 8-10.
St. Louis recorded at least two errors for the fifth time this season.
The Cardinals are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 0-3 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Pirates are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cardinals have a 9-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Pirates are 2-8. The Cardinals have a 3-1 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 24th in home runs, St. Louis has hit 14 this season. Pittsburgh ranks 16th with 18 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Pittsburgh is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.61 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five at second with 9.27.
Ranking 26th, Pittsburgh is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.637). St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .727.
The Pirates are 2-6 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 6-3 when they allow at least one homer.